Football

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Soccer betting strategies

1) Both teams to score

The both teams to score betting market has been one of the fastest growing within the industry over the past couple of years. As with anything, betting has its trends and fashions, with markets coming into fashion and then falling away.

One of the leaders to the concept was that of Betfred who introduced their Goals Galore market. This would entail the punter to select their matches from a large coupon –selected by Betfred- before each selection gets added to an accumulator type bet.

How does it work?

The concept is simple. You basically select a game where you think both teams will score at some point in the game. This can be at any time and it doesn’t matter how many each team scores, just as long as it’s one or more. The result of the match is actually totally irrelevant and as soon as both teams score a goal then the market will be paid out on. If one or both teams fail to score a goal then the bet becomes a losing one.

Bet on Both Teams to Score Strategy

The first thing you want to look for in markets like this is teams who are attack minded. Remember you need a team that is good going forward, but also capable to concede the odd goal. This is why it’s not always going to be best to bet on the bigger teams such as possibly a Manchester United or Barcelona as, whilst they are more than likely going to score against the majority of opposition, they are teams that aren’t going to concede many goals either. In fact, on the flip side you should be looking at teams that are lower in the league and even near the bottom who are likely going to struggle to keep clean sheets but are capable of nicking the odd goal.

Strikers and Defenders

A must for this sort of betting is to find out the team news prior to placing your bet. If the star striker has failed a late fitness test and has scored 15 out of the teams 20 goals that season, then the chances of them scoring are going to be massively depleted. On the other hand if the team’s best defender is back from injury then it’s going to be even more likely that they won’t concede a goal. Taking into account which players are playing for both teams can be one of the most important pieces of information you take for this market.

Goals Scored and Conceded

Recent form is another attribute you want to play close attention to; but as you would for say picking the winner of the game. We need to focus more on the form of their scoring and conceding habits. And this is for both teams remember. Look for weak defences and strong offences. Generally it’s hard to find teams that are good at both – and if we do, then it’s probably best just to stay clear. But most teams are better at one than the other. Take a look at the last 5 games for both teams and see if there were goals involved. You can extend this somewhat to see the form of both their home and away records before then applying this to the upcoming fixture. Some teams will likely be better at home or away, so taking this into consideration is an important feature.

2) Betting on goals scores OVER set amount

Online betting and in-play betting has revolutionised the way that football fans can add more excitement to a game and it has provided a whole new way to make money from sport. Whether your interest is as a fan of the game or as someone who wants to make money, having new ways to bet is of interest and the betting on goals scored (over) option is a great one for football fans.

Firstly, football is all about goals and this is what the majority of fans want to see. A team can play tremendously well but unless they score, they will not be able to win the game. This is why looking at goals is a great way to properly engage with the game and to keep an interest in the game until the final whistle.

The concept for this style of bet is simple

The concept on betting on goals scored (over) is simple and even if you are not a big football fan, it is simple enough to understand. What you are betting on here is the total number of goals scored in the game. It doesn’t matter if one team scores all of the goals or if both teams get on the score sheet. If Manchester United defeated Manchester City by 3 goals to 1, there would be 4 goals in total. Similarly, if Manchester United and Manchester City drew 2-2, there would be 4 goals in the game. It is important to remember that the actual outcome of the game isn’t relevant when betting on goals scored bets, only the number of goals.

What you will find when looking at betting on goals scored (over) options is that the bet will revolve around a half number and as you cannot get half a goal in football, all of these bets will either be won or lost. An example would be a betting site offering players odds of the amount of goals scored being over 1.5.

If you take this bet and think that there will be more than 1.5 goals scored in the game, you need there to be two goals scored. It doesn’t matter which team scores the goals but there needs to be 2 goals scored. Examples of the outcome of this bet in relation to certain scores are:

Manchester United 0 v Manchester City 0. With this score, 0 goals have been scored and the bet is lost.

Manchester United 0 v Manchester City 1. With this score, 1 goal has been scored and the bet is lost

Manchester United 1 v Manchester City 1. With this score, 2 goals have been scored and the bet is won.

Any winning score line of 2-0, 2-1 or any greater number of goals for either team will win an over 1.5 goals bet and a draw of any score from 1-1 upwards will win an over 1.5 goals bet.

This principle is the exact same, regardless of the bet that has been offered, many bookmakers will offer odds of goals scored over 2.5 goals or goals scored over 3.5 goals. You will also find that in-play bets for games where there have already been a lot of goals scored will provide goals scored over bets of a higher value, but it will always end in a .5.

This style of football bet is popular, it can provide great returns and it ensures that football fans can have an interest in the game right up to the final whistle.

Goals Scored Betting Strategies

Choosing your markets

These sorts of betting types often come with a wide range of markets. In this case they will be in the form of the amount of goals the spread is set upon. The most common will be 1.5, 2.5 and even 3.5 with each market offering up more risk than the other; the general trend will be the odds increase the more goals you are looking to bet over. With each game it’s important to select the market that will yield the greatest amount of profit, i.e. which game will comfortably hit their game quota.

League and game selection

Game selection is without doubt the most important part of this whole betting market. When betting on the over a certain amount of goals, you obviously want games that are going to be high scoring. A good way to do this is by checking for teams that are good at going forward, but have a poor defence. Remember, you don’t need the goals to be spread out between the teams; an 8-0 thrashing is just as good as 4-4 classic!

As a by-product of this, it’s always going to be beneficial to find leagues that are high scoring. There are tons of sites that provide information on leagues from around the world and how many goals per game they average. This sort of information is exactly what we need to start narrowing our decisions down. Don’t just look at the major leagues as well, look at smaller nations that will have high goals per game ratios. Places such as Japan and Holland are two countries that notoriously have high scoring games throughout the season and should definitely be targeted.

3) Spread Betting?

Spread Betting has become increasingly popular over the last few years and this is hardly surprising seeing that it is much more exciting than the fixed odds betting. This type of betting is in some ways similar to Asian Handicap since the general idea is for a punter to have the same chance of winning regardless of which side he takes. Your winnings and losses are based on the accuracy of your bet, or how right/wrong you are.

How Does Spread Betting Work

Let us first give you an idea how this works. If a bookmaker expects around 15 or 16 corners to be taken in a match, the spread will be set at 15-16. If you believe more than 16 corners will be taken, you can ‘buy’ €10 a point at 16. This basically means you win €10 for every corner after the 16th, but if fewer corners than 16 are taken, you can lose quite a bit of money.

If there are 21 corners in the match, you will earn (21-16) x €10 = €50
But, if just 13 corners are taken, you will lose (16-13) x €10 = €30

You can also ‘sell’, which means to bet on the outcome to be lower than the spread set by the bookmaker. The more right you are, the bigger the winnings and vice versa.

Just as the odds drop when everyone is backing the favourites, the spread can also change regardless of how the market moves and this is something that punters can take advantage of by both buying and selling points on the same game. This is called trading and this way, punters can win money regardless of the outcome of the match.

Spread Betting During In-Play

Let us say you buy a point at 11 while the spread is set to 10-11, and due to market movements, spread changes to 14-15. You can then sell at 14, which means you will earn money no matter what happens in the game. If there are 15 corners taken, you win (15-11) 4 times the stake for buying at 11 and lose just one time the stake (15-14) for selling at 14. This is why most of the spread betting is done in play, since that is the best way to take advantage of the market movements. This is similar to trading at Betfair and it should be your ultimate goal with the spreads.

You have already seen that the risk involved is much bigger than with the fixed odds soccer betting, but the potential winnings can be huge at times and this is what makes everything so exciting. You never know how much money you stand to win or lose when placing a bet and that’s why the spread betting is mostly for high rollers.

By simply betting on your favourite team to win, your winnings will be the same no matter how big the winning margin is, but by buying a point at the spread, every goal they score can mean more money for you. This also adds to the excitement.

Everyone has, at least once, missed out on a big payoff after seeing the team they backed concede in the dying moments of the game but with the same scenario in spread betting you will just win a little less money, which definitely beats winning nothing at all. It will probably take you some time to get acquainted with the spread betting but once you get the general idea, you’ll be having a blast in no time.

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